Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 3.773561 4.050071 4.345004 4.684373 5.065815 5.483326 5.977657
2025-04-20 3.285323 3.667652 4.101352 4.635263 5.282688 6.052893 7.055054
2025-04-27 3.057589 3.509410 4.045102 4.738698 5.631063 6.767648 8.372834
2025-05-04 2.892211 3.391866 4.005267 4.832698 5.951592 7.464489 9.768787
2025-05-11 2.718576 3.240876 3.899491 4.817063 6.108947 7.945612 10.934932
2025-05-18 2.564188 3.098027 3.786239 4.771444 6.207608 8.342312 12.036332
2025-05-25 2.402748 2.932595 3.627297 4.642974 6.164834 8.510076 12.783017
2025-06-01 2.276263 2.804276 3.507478 4.556103 6.169071 8.743739 13.684483
2025-06-08 2.195992 2.732344 3.458686 4.565253 6.317225 9.226959 15.159430
2025-06-15 2.141838 2.692035 3.450007 4.630771 6.558325 9.900760 17.199038
2025-06-22 2.028167 2.562728 3.305851 4.477324 6.421666 9.874528 17.715154
2025-06-29 1.935964 2.459302 3.193493 4.364948 6.342628 9.943017 18.468191
2025-07-06 1.852546 2.367797 3.098290 4.280331 6.316228 10.134360 19.653292
2025-07-13 1.785866 2.297856 3.032130 4.238867 6.364369 10.487941 21.413534
2025-07-20 1.758285 2.282758 3.046733 4.329202 6.659524 11.404158 25.171508
2025-07-27 1.730486 2.265548 3.056412 4.411074 6.947934 12.368010 29.680587
2025-08-03 1.682496 2.215911 3.012645 4.397468 7.049074 12.924415 33.184323
2025-08-10 1.632048 2.160352 2.956500 4.357746 7.093000 13.352283 36.522688
2025-08-17 1.569163 2.083582 2.863077 4.245740 6.977562 13.358892 38.115692
2025-08-24 1.517765 2.022531 2.792240 4.169880 6.930367 13.537029 40.675373
2025-08-31 1.486862 1.991696 2.768663 4.177875 7.061557 14.222277 46.434688
2025-09-07 1.467560 1.977900 2.771955 4.235089 7.305970 15.287461 55.767584
2025-09-14 1.411997 1.905801 2.676140 4.101000 7.110076 15.019897 56.406212